Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.160372 2.590932 3.074171 3.655099 4.332805 5.096657 6.020973
2025-12-14 1.517570 2.054432 2.722858 3.609640 4.747749 6.151125 8.003255
2025-12-21 1.141180 1.710242 2.482369 3.592123 5.128834 7.161492 10.029018
2025-12-28 0.958984 1.565208 2.448599 3.804058 5.799160 8.588882 12.734728
2026-01-04 0.800336 1.411438 2.360913 3.904690 6.301554 9.817715 15.280753
2026-01-11 0.693747 1.311728 2.328387 4.067952 6.897198 11.222611 18.202798
2026-01-18 0.581785 1.177193 2.212267 4.071715 7.231454 12.252197 20.644469
2026-01-25 0.471425 1.020773 2.029447 3.930066 7.300081 12.857334 22.463279
2026-02-01 0.383250 0.886509 1.860692 3.782046 7.328766 13.384584 24.184568
2026-02-08 0.328156 0.806395 1.777655 3.773511 7.592313 14.316441 26.641886
2026-02-15 0.284121 0.740073 1.709534 3.780675 7.879301 15.306186 29.270435
2026-02-22 0.242816 0.670611 1.622765 3.736610 8.060184 16.116553 31.641858
2026-03-01 0.196140 0.578495 1.473966 3.548041 7.946303 16.394206 33.112509
2026-03-08 0.167950 0.525938 1.403832 3.515875 8.140679 17.264545 35.746401
2026-03-15 0.145256 0.482265 1.346382 3.502451 8.370197 18.219622 38.614040
2026-03-22 0.137340 0.478145 1.383938 3.710827 9.093321 20.204283 43.611398
2026-03-29 0.124783 0.457288 1.375746 3.809615 9.586238 21.764821 47.890173
2026-04-05 0.116202 0.446553 1.391982 3.969426 10.231319 23.686773 53.025722
2026-04-12 0.102463 0.415588 1.348281 3.973144 10.518236 24.882166 56.770797
2026-04-19 0.085808 0.369884 1.254772 3.834595 10.454541 25.322973 58.986926
2026-04-26 0.071570 0.328189 1.164400 3.689818 10.357143 25.677775 61.041567
2026-05-03 0.063080 0.305326 1.126150 3.681472 10.593798 26.788762 64.786772
2026-05-10 0.056029 0.285922 1.094992 3.688478 10.869420 28.008107 68.849813